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Generalizations Could Damage Individual Reputations

Revision History - v1, v2, v3, v4

Published by noargument, December 25, 2011, 11:41 pm GMT
Participation: default  
Type: Inductive  


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1) PREMISE:   
It is a fact that the majority of men accused of physical abuse are found to be guilty.

      90% likely


1

2) PREMISE:   
John X. is a man who has been accused of committing abuse.

      100% likely


none

3) IF 1 AND 2 IT LIKELY FOLLOWS THAT:   
Therefore, it is highly likely that John X. is an abuser.

      75% likely


none

4) IF 3 IT LIKELY FOLLOWS THAT:   
Please note that the author does not agree with this argument, but isn't sure exactly why. He invites others to critique this argument which was presented to him recently.

I was not sure how/where to make this remark and I see I can not add critiques to my own argument, so I placed it here.

I feel that this argument is similar to this one, which is clearly false:

Most birds are animals capable of flight.

The Kiwi is a type of bird.

Therefore, it is likely that a Kiwi can fly.


Well, not only is not unlikely that a Kiwi can fly, it is completely impossible. The Kiwi is a small flightless bird from New Zealand (national bird).

So, I have two questions. (1) Is the original argument that was made to me valid, even as a weak (unconvincing?) inductive argument? (2) Is my Kiwi bird argument truly analogous?

What types of logical fallacies are being committed here, if any?

      100% likely


1



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Title Published
Generalizations Could Damage Individual Reputations
Social Issues
Dec 29, 2011




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